Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.161527 2.491740 2.861666 3.307931 3.833210 4.433661 5.174626
2025-03-09 1.672303 2.108723 2.649054 3.372325 4.322818 5.539893 7.233283
2025-03-16 1.380956 1.846081 2.461055 3.343579 4.593804 6.325968 8.950418
2025-03-23 1.187502 1.662934 2.325474 3.331489 4.847423 7.090425 10.743533
2025-03-30 1.030310 1.499660 2.183147 3.271754 5.001127 7.709817 12.410497
2025-04-06 0.934152 1.408174 2.126694 3.322512 5.317750 8.614444 14.691699
2025-04-13 0.828931 1.287414 2.006630 3.249878 5.414826 9.164085 16.457260
2025-04-20 0.783666 1.254142 2.018143 3.390727 5.887935 10.428140 19.770975
2025-04-27 0.718525 1.179902 1.951826 3.385931 6.097197 11.243223 22.379031
2025-05-04 0.681619 1.148369 1.952916 3.498908 6.537701 12.564598 26.302277
2025-05-11 0.634178 1.092938 1.904910 3.512894 6.786153 13.542134 29.692750
2025-05-18 0.591174 1.040652 1.856185 3.517806 7.014658 14.512933 33.282460
2025-05-25 0.538338 0.970599 1.777252 3.474940 7.186761 15.505392 37.479745
2025-06-01 0.502155 0.928966 1.749990 3.539908 7.620564 17.223338 44.163592
2025-06-08 0.460584 0.871527 1.683440 3.509707 7.831848 18.460685 49.963263
2025-06-15 0.425843 0.823353 1.629096 3.496938 8.080899 19.850142 56.682521
2025-06-22 0.390688 0.770243 1.557662 3.433889 8.194482 20.914689 62.801094
2025-06-29 0.369119 0.742866 1.537559 3.487463 8.615290 22.921417 72.727790
2025-07-06 0.339702 0.695551 1.467991 3.410802 8.677749 23.925563 79.631276
2025-07-13 0.329368 0.688522 1.487818 3.559470 9.388204 27.048168 95.554061
2025-07-20 0.309468 0.658060 1.449992 3.554407 9.662040 28.890673 107.394024
2025-07-27 0.299027 0.647908 1.458704 3.673683 10.328860 32.205144 126.864564
2025-08-03 0.283225 0.623675 1.430557 3.688450 10.681176 34.557458 143.362542